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Numbers Game

Pollock's resurgence, and Dhoni the matchwinner

Shaun Pollock's stunning season as an ODI bowler, and Mahendra Singh Dhoni's ability to play innings which win the game for India

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
16-Feb-2007


Shaun Pollock has been in irresistible form with the ball this season © AFP
With yet another outstanding spell of seam moving in the last ODI of the series against Pakistan at Johannesburg, Shaun Pollock has further underlined the fact that going into the World Cup, he is the premier bowler in one-day cricket. Pollock's 5 for 23 in ten overs were outstanding returns, and more so because all his victims were top-order players, including Younis Khan, Mohammad Yousuf and Inzamam-ul-Haq.
A couple of years back, the word going around was that Pollock's powers as a bowler were on the wane - the loss of pace meant his wicket-taking ability had reduced, while his metronomic accuracy had an air of predictability to it, which allowed batsmen to score more easily off him. Since 2006, though, Pollock has rediscovered the venom of old: his runs per wicket has almost halved, compared to the two previous years, while the economy rate has dropped almost 25% as well. In the run-up to the World Cup, his form has been truly spectacular - the 2006-07 season has already fetched him 25 wickets at an average of 16 and a staggering economy rate of 2.99.
Pollock in ODIs in the last three years
Period Matches Wickets Average Econ/ Strike rate
Jan 2004 to Dec 2005 45 45 33.09 4.01/ 49.47
Jan 2006 to Feb 2007 26 41 17.63 3.06/ 34.54
To focus on run-saving or to hunt for wickets? That's a dilemma most bowlers have had to work out in the ODI format, because it's almost assumed that a bowler can't do both - if he tries to take wickets, he'll invariably leak a few runs, while focussing on economy will diminish the wicket-taking abilities. In the last year, not only has Pollock done both, he has also excelled in each, topping each table by a considerable margin. And it's interesting to note that apart from Pollock and his fellow metronome Glenn McGrath, none of the other bowlers have made it into both lists.
Most economical ODI bowlers since 2006 (at least 100 overs, excludes matches involving Bangladesh, Zimbabwe, and other non-Test-playing teams)
Bowler ODIs Overs Runs Econ
Shaun Pollock 24 216 666 3.08
Glenn McGrath 21 183 694 3.79
Daniel Vettori 23 204.2 828 4.05
Harbhajan Singh 29 257 1064 4.14
Mohammad Asif 20 153.4 659 4.28
Muttiah Muralitharan 29 253.1 1099 4.34
Iftikhar Anjum 14 103.5 453 4.36
Andrew Flintoff 17 121.1 532 4.39
Chaminda Vaas 28 235.3 1045 4.43
Ian Bradshaw 23 210.4 941 4.46
Best averages in ODIs since 2006 (at least 100 overs, excludes matches involving Bangladesh, Zimbabwe, and other non-Test-playing teams)
Bowler ODIs Wickets Average Strike rate
Shaun Pollock 24 37 16.65 32.4
Nathan Bracken 29 54 21.33 27.9
Lasith Malinga 19 32 21.46 26.8
Makhaya Ntini 18 33 21.69 27.8
Shane Bond 20 35 23.91 30.8
Farveez Maharoof 21 24 24.41 31.3
Glenn McGrath 21 28 24.78 39.2
Ramesh Powar 16 24 25.45 33.6
Jacques Kallis 16 20 25.80 30.0
Irfan Pathan 25 36 25.86 30.4
Pollock's strike rate of 32.4 balls per wicket has been bettered by seven bowlers among the top ten in the averages list, but that won't worry Graeme Smith too much. Admittedly the pitches in South Africa did offer some assistance which the tracks in West Indies might not, but given Pollock's class and experience, Smith has every right to expect more such virtuoso performances when the stakes get higher.
The middle-order question
Back in the familiar confines of home territory, the Indian team has at least shown signs of getting back to their winning ways - though they haven't forgotten the art of throwing away games which they should have won in a canter. Virender Sehwag's form remains a worry, but the encouraging bit has been the manner in which two other middle-order batsmen who were so vital to India's golden run the previous year, have rediscovered their touch. Both Rahul Dravid and Mahendra Singh Dhoni suffered huge dips in form through the second half of 2006 - which coincided with India winning only three out of 17 ODIs - but the early part of 2007 has been far happier for them.
Dravid and Dhoni in ODIs between May-Dec 2006
Batsman ODIs Runs Average 100s/ 50s
Rahul Dravid 15 383 27.35 1/ 2
Mahendra Singh Dhoni 17 363 25.92 0/ 2
Dravid and Dhoni in ODIs in 2007
Batsman ODIs Runs Average 100s/ 50s
Rahul Dravid 7 282 56.40 0/ 4
Mahendra Singh Dhoni 6 223 111.50 0/ 2
The positions between numbers five and eight are often key for an ODI side, and as the table here shows, the Indians have, in the last couple of years, had very handy personnel manning those positions. Their average of 33.12 runs per wicket for the fifth, sixth and seventh wickets is next only to Australia and the South Africans, who are now rapidly closing the gap on the world champions. Thanks mainly to Dhoni, Dravid and Yuvraj Singh, India's average partnership is higher than those achieved by New Zealand and Pakistan, teams which are renowned for their lower-middle-order strength.
Partnerships for wickets 5, 6 and 7 in ODIs since Jan 2005
Team Innings Runs Average stand 100s/ 50s
Australia 146 4881 41.01 9/ 27
South Africa 116 3568 36.04 4/ 21
India 144 4041 33.12 8/ 21
Pakistan 128 3728 31.86 3/ 19
New Zealand 118 3142 28.30 3/ 15
England 131 3425 27.40 5/ 14
Sri Lanka 140 3286 25.27 6/ 11
West Indies 139 3096 24.18 2/ 15
Bangladesh 111 2409 23.61 0/ 17
Zimbabwe 120 2517 21.33 1/ 14
The list below offers more proof - in any is still needed - on why India need Dhoni to be in excellent batting form during the World Cup. Three of the five best lower-middle-order pairs in the last two years have the meaty presence of Dhoni, as he combined with Yuvraj, Raina and Dravid to bail India out more than once.
Best pairs between wickets 5 and 7 in ODIs since Jan 2005 (at least 5 innings)
Pair Innings Runs Ave stand 100s/ 50s
Hussey/ Lee 6 220 73.33 1/ 0
Yuvraj/ Dhoni 7 439 73.16 3/ 0
McCullum/ Oram 6 335 67.00 2/ 0
Raina/ Dhoni 7 324 64.80 1/ 1
Dravid/ Dhoni 9 456 57.00 1/ 3
Hussey/ Symonds 12 560 56.00 2/ 4
Yousuf/ Razzaq 8 389 55.57 1/ 1
Clarke/ Hussey 21 886 55.37 2/ 3
Boucher/ Kallis 5 267 53.40 1/ 1
Collingwood/ Jones 9 362 51.71 2/ 1
Scroll down Dhoni's career summary page, and you'll notice that he averages almost 88 in wins, and only one-third that number in defeats. How he shapes up with the bat in the West Indies could well dictate how far India progress in the World Cup.

S Rajesh is stats editor of Cricinfo.