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Numbers Game

Vaughan's ODI travails, and peerless Vettori

With an average in the mid-20s and a strike rate of 66, Michael Vaughan clearly doesn't cut it as a one-day batsman

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
13-Apr-2007


A familiar story: Michael Vaughan falls cheaply yet again © Getty Images
When Michael Vaughan was pottering around, straining every sinew to get to his 30 runs off 59 deliveries against Bangladesh, it was difficult to imagine that four seasons back, the same batsman was thrashing an Australian attack that included Glenn McGrath, Brett Lee and Shane Warne. Vaughan's Test stats have fallen away since those heady days as well, but it's as a one-day international player that he doesn't look the part - he never has, since making his debut against Sri Lanka six years ago.
The bare numbers are ordinary - 1886 runs in 84 matches at an average of less than 27, with 15 fifties but no centuries - and they're probably even worse than they look, for Vaughan has mostly batted in the top three - 62 of his innings have either been as an opener or at one-down. That should ideally have given him plenty of opportunities to get to the three-figure mark, but Vaughan has managed to fritter away all those chances.
The table below lists out batsmen with the lowest averages when batting in the top four positions in the line-up. There are seven batsmen before Vaughan, but three of them had another dimension to them. Kennedy Otieno, who leads the list, played most of his ODIs for Kenya as their wicketkeeper, as did Sri Lanka's Romesh Kaluwitharana. Shahid Afridi's legspin has given Pakistan's attack an extra bowling option; besides, his scoring rate of more than a run a ball ensures that when he does get starts, the opposition is immediately on the back foot. Vaughan, on the other hand, has struggled with both the runs and the run-rate - he scores at 66 runs per 100 balls, which, going by current standards at the top of the order, is pedestrian. (Boeta Dippenaar, Shivnarine Chanderpaul and Marvan Atapattu are three other top-order batsmen with similar strike rates, but they all averaged more than 37.)
Batsmen in the top four slots with lowest averages (at least 70 innings when batting at Nos.1-4))
Batsman Innings Runs Average Strike rate 100s/ 50s
Kennedy Otieno 73 1655 22.98 55.51 2/ 10
Craig McMillan 71 1747 24.60 70.72 1/ 9
Shahid Afridi 161 3928 24.70 104.60 4/ 24
Romesh Kaluwitharana 118 2866 25.36 78.67 2/ 22
Sherwin Campbell 84 2179 26.70 55.22 2/ 13
Mohsin Khan 71 1789 26.70 55.94 2/ 7
John Wright 146 3879 26.75 57.23 1/ 24
Michael Vaughan 73 1743 27.23 66.29 0/ 14
Mudassar Nazar 94 2491 27.37 51.80 0/ 16
Kris Srikkanth 145 4091 29.01 71.73 4/ 27
The problem for Vaughan when he bats up the order has been two-fold: he is unable to score for long periods - in the first 15 overs his dot-ball percentage is more than 73%, which is way too high during a period when the fielders are within the circle, presenting plenty of opportunities for batsmen to go over the top. Moreover, he has also fallen during this period 33 times, which puts England on the back foot - and the opposition in the ascendancy - right from the start. He has better stats when batting in the later overs, which suggests it might be worthwhile for the England think-tank to push him down to No.4 or 5 for a few games.
Vaughan through the 50 overs of an ODI innings (since June 2001)
Overs Dot balls 4s/ 6s Total balls Runs/ dismissals Average Scoring rate
0-15 995 111/ 5 1357 821/ 33 24.87 3.63
15.1-40 692 72/ 4 1246 892/ 27 33.03 4.29
40.1-50 26 8/ 2 87 112/ 3 37.33 7.72
An often-heard criticism about Vaughan is that he fails to convert his starts, but equally, he also fails to get off to starts too many times - he has failed to get past 10 on 29 occasions, and has fallen between 11 and 30 another 27 times. Add the two, and it turns out that 56 times out of 77 (excludes innings under 30 in which he was unbeaten) he has been dismissed for 30 or lesser, which is a whopping 73% of his innings. From a top-order batsman, that surely isn't good enough.
Break-up of Vaughan's ODI innings (excludes inng <=30 in which he has been unbeaten)
0-10 11-30 31-50 50-plus
29 27 6 15
The pleasing aspect about Vaughan's batting is that he's so elegant, correct, and plays by the book, but that tendency also allows opposition captains to set orthodox fields to him, knowing that he won't hoick good-length balls outside off over square leg. (When he does try to be unorthodox, he usually gets out.) The bowlers who've had the most success against him are the ones who don't bowl at express pace, but are naggingly accurate. Check out Vaughan's average and scoring rate against the two best bowlers of that kind, Shaun Pollock and Glenn McGrath. When given more pace to work with - most notably against Brett Lee and Makhaya Ntini - he's had far more success.
The final stats still don't stack up, though, and with crucial World Cup games coming up over the next few days, Duncan Fletcher and Vaughan himself will have to decide how best to utilise a weapon that clearly isn't firing.
Vaughan against each bowler in the first 15
Bowler Balls Runs Dismissals Average Runs per over
Glenn McGrath 39 8 2 4.00 1.23
Shaun Pollock 62 21 2 10.50 2.03
Ian Bradshaw 58 36 3 12.00 3.72
James Franklin 56 37 2 18.50 3.96
Merv Dillon 44 24 1 24.00 3.27
Makhaya Ntini 56 39 1 39.00 4.17
Brett Lee 38 44 0 - 6.94
Peerless Vettori
New Zealand didn't have much to cheer during their six-wicket drubbing against Sri Lanka, but their best spinner reached a significant milestone, becoming only the third bowler from New Zealand to get to 200 wickets in ODIs. Vettori has often toiled in conditions which haven't been suitable for spin bowling, but in the last four years he has become a far more potent bowler, both in terms of keeping the runs down and nailing the wickets.
In fact, the way the 2007 World Cup has contrasted with the earlier one for him encapsulates just how much he has improved as a bowler. In the 2003 edition, Vettori was good at staunching the runs, but struggled for wickets, managing just two in seven matches at an average of 129.50. This time around, he has consistently been among the wickets, already nabbing 14 in seven matches, at a superb average of 20.42.
Vettori's career, split in two
Period Matches Wickets Average Econ Strike rate
Till 2003 World Cup 106 84 41.45 4.41 56.3
Since 2003 World Cup 92 117 26.03 3.98 39.1
Career 198 201 32.47 4.2 46.3
In fact, during this four-year period since the 2003 World Cup, Vettori's performance has been nearly as good as Muttiah Muralitharan's, and easily much better than any other spinner's.
Top spinners since the 2003 World Cup (at least 75 matches)
Bowler Matches Wickets Average Econ Strike rate
Muttiah Muralitharan 81 126 22.89 3.88 35.3
Daniel Vettori 92 117 26.03 3.98 39.1
Brad Hogg 76 96 27.16 4.57 35.6
Mohammad Rafique 79 87 33.25 4.19 47.5
Shoaib Malik 106 81 33.59 4.45 45.2
Chris Gayle 98 82 34.75 4.67 44.5
Harbhajan Singh 76 76 36.47 4.08 53.6
Vettori has been outstanding when bowling in the middle overs during this period (since the 2003 World Cup) but he has also done his bit when asked to bowl in the last ten, taking his wickets cheaply and going at less than a run a ball.
Vettori, at various stages of an ODI, since the 2003 World Cup
Overs Runs balls Wickets Average Econ
0-15 70 96 0 - 4.37
16-40 2463 4030 97 25.39 3.66
41-50 440 472 20 22.00 5.59
Vettori has fought some tough battles with the best batsmen during these last four years, and the table below lists out his numbers against each. It's noticeable that the left-handers have been more secure against him - Michael Hussey, Matthew Hayden and Kumar Sangakkara all have healthy averages against him - but even they have found him difficult to get away. Among the right-handers, Inzamam-ul-Haq and Mohammad Yousuf have had plenty of success against him, but some of the others have struggled. Vettori has found plenty of success against batsmen who play by the book, and whose first intent isn't all-out attack - Damien Martyn, Rahul Dravid and Jacques Kallis are all orthodox players, and Vettori has won his battles against each of them.
Vettori v the top batsmen, since the 2003 World Cup
Batsman Balls Runs Wkts Average Scoring rate
Inzamam-ul-Haq 72 76 0 - 6.33
Michael Hussey 160 94 1 94.00 3.52
Matthew Hayden 116 53 1 53.00 2.74
Kumar Sangakkara 109 90 2 45.00 4.95
Mohammad Yousuf 109 97 2 48.50 5.33
Ricky Ponting 245 154 4 38.50 3.77
Damien Martyn 111 78 4 19.50 4.21
Rahul Dravid 53 47 3 15.67 5.32
Jacques Kallis 69 37 3 12.33 3.21

S Rajesh is stats editor of Cricinfo.