Match facts
December 26-30, 2009
Start time 10.30am (23.30 GMT)
Big Picture
It's hard to know what to expect from a contest between the team that has
played the most Tests over the past two years and the side that has played
the fewest. Australia's hectic schedule means they've played 27 Tests since
this time in 2007, while Pakistan's home circumstances have limited them to
eight Tests in the same period. Australia are coming off a 2-0, though
tightly-fought, series against West Indies. Pakistan have just drawn 1-1
in New Zealand.
In years gone you could confidently predict not just an Australian win,
but a rout, so dominant have they been against Pakistan since the mid-90s.
But this is a different Australia side and as the series against West
Indies proved, one closer back to the pack than ever before. This Pakistan
side retains the essence of all Pakistan sides and thus capable of
anything.
What can be expected for sure is some high quality pace bowling. After a
decade of batting riches, cricket suddenly finds itself with good fast
bowlers floating around and few are more exciting than the ones Australia
and Pakistan have; between them, Doug Bollinger, Peter Siddle, Mitchell
Johnson, Mohammad Aamer, Mohammmad Asif and Umar Gul are likely to
determine the fate of the series.
If Pakistan feel they have the better spinners in Danish Kaneria and Saeed
Ajmal, Australia will be more than confident that their batting is by far
the stronger. But if all goes well, it could be the most closely-fought
series between the two sides since the 1994-95 tussle in Pakistan.
Form guide (last five Tests, most recent first)
Australia - WDWLW
Pakistan - DWLDL
Watch out for
Doug Bollinger: He has become Australia's newest cult bowling hero. He
entertains his team-mates with his antics, thrills the fans with his
wholeheartedness and good humour, and worries the opposition with his pace,
swing and consistency. Chris Gayle made no secret of the fact that he felt
Bollinger was the most dangerous of Australia's fast men during the recent
Test series and Bollinger will be desperate to ensure his place in the
attack becomes permanent.
Three hundreds on an impressive Pakistan A tour to Australia in July
brought Umar Akmal into the national side and he hasn't stopped
scoring since; he already has two international hundreds and a spate of
fifties. He was hugely impressive in his maiden Test tour against New
Zealand and his clear-headed aggression and a steady technique should win
him more fans here.
Team news
All the talk in the lead-up to the Test has surrounded Ricky Ponting's
fitness after suffering elbow tendon damage in the third Test against West
Indies. He trained well on Thursday and Friday and is more than likely to
take his place in the side come Boxing Day. On the off chance he is ruled
out, Phillip Hughes will come in. Siddle also looks set to return in
place of fellow Victorian Clint McKay after sitting out the WACA Test
against West Indies with a hamstring strain. Siddle bowled without
trouble in a state one-day match on Wednesday. A long-standing groin
problem for Nathan Hauritz has opened the doors for young legspinner Steve
Smith, but Australia will give Hauritz time till the morning of the Test
before making a final call.
Australia (probable) 1 Shane Watson, 2 Simon Katich, 3 Ricky Ponting
(capt), 4 Michael Hussey, 5 Michael Clarke, 6 Marcus North, 7 Brad Haddin
(wk), 8 Mitchell Johnson, 9 Nathan Hauritz/Steve Smith, 10 Peter Siddle, 11 Doug
Bollinger.
Pakistan have no such injury concerns though a niggle to the fourth finger
on Danish Kaneria's spinning hand is being looked at. There is talk in the
camp of playing an extra spinner in place of a fast bowler, but that will
depend on the surface and a decision is expected later. Pakistan will not
readily dismantle the pace trio that served them so well in New Zealand.
Pakistan (probable) 1 Salman Butt, 2 Imran Farhat, 3 Faisal Iqbal,
4 Mohammad Yousuf (capt), 5 Misbah-ul-Haq, 6 Umar Akmal, 7 Kamran Akmal
(wk), 8 Mohammad Aamer, 9 Umar Gul/Saeed Ajmal, 10 Mohammad Asif, 11
Danish Kaneria
Pitch and conditions
The drop-in MCG pitches have generally provided a slowish surface in recent
years and the runs haven't always flowed as easily as at other venues. The
forecast for the five days is mostly good, with temperatures expected to
rise as the game goes on.
Stats and Trivia
Pakistan have played eight Tests at the MCG for two wins, in 1978-79
and 1981-82 Australia's loss to South Africa in Melbourne last summer ended a run
of nine consecutive wins for Australia at the MCG The MCG is the only one of Australia's five major venues at which
Michael Clarke has not scored a Test centuryQuotes
"I think the conditions here and probably in Sydney as well will help
Pakistan."
Michael Clarke
"Because Australia don't have McGrath and Warney anymore, there are more
chances of sides coming and playing well over here."
Salman Butt
Brydon Coverdale is a staff writer at Cricinfo